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Prediction for CME (2013-04-11T07:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2013-04-11T07:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/154/-1
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2013-04-13T22:12Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0
Dst min. in nT: -11
Dst min. time: 2013-04-15T03:00Z

Predicted Arrival Time: 2013-04-12T21:29Z
Prediction Method: STOA
Prediction Method Note:

On Apr 11, 2013, at 4:18 PM, Murray Dryer wrote:
STOA predicts shock arrival 12 April 2013, 2129 UT +/-10 hr. using SWPC/USAF Type II shock speed estimate, Vs = 1370 km/s, at 0702UT, from M.6/2B flare and CME.
 
Time for another Webb-Howard plot, Dave! 
 
Murray

Lead Time: 49.90 hour(s)
Difference: 24.72 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2013-04-11T20:18Z

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